Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000060 0.000063 0.000066 0.000069 0.000073 0.000076 0.000081
2025-03-16 0.000055 0.000059 0.000064 0.000069 0.000075 0.000081 0.000088
2025-03-23 0.000053 0.000058 0.000063 0.000070 0.000078 0.000086 0.000097
2025-03-30 0.000050 0.000055 0.000061 0.000069 0.000078 0.000089 0.000102
2025-04-06 0.000046 0.000052 0.000059 0.000067 0.000077 0.000088 0.000104
2025-04-13 0.000043 0.000049 0.000056 0.000064 0.000074 0.000087 0.000104
2025-04-20 0.000041 0.000046 0.000053 0.000062 0.000072 0.000086 0.000104
2025-04-27 0.000039 0.000045 0.000051 0.000060 0.000071 0.000085 0.000105
2025-05-04 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000061 0.000073 0.000089 0.000112
2025-05-11 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000062 0.000075 0.000092 0.000118
2025-05-18 0.000038 0.000045 0.000053 0.000064 0.000079 0.000099 0.000130
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000043 0.000051 0.000062 0.000077 0.000098 0.000130
2025-06-01 0.000035 0.000041 0.000049 0.000061 0.000076 0.000097 0.000131
2025-06-08 0.000034 0.000040 0.000049 0.000060 0.000077 0.000100 0.000137
2025-06-15 0.000033 0.000040 0.000049 0.000061 0.000079 0.000104 0.000147
2025-06-22 0.000032 0.000039 0.000048 0.000060 0.000079 0.000105 0.000152
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000038 0.000046 0.000059 0.000077 0.000104 0.000151
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000036 0.000044 0.000056 0.000074 0.000101 0.000148
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000034 0.000043 0.000054 0.000072 0.000098 0.000146
2025-07-20 0.000027 0.000033 0.000041 0.000053 0.000071 0.000098 0.000146
2025-07-27 0.000027 0.000033 0.000042 0.000054 0.000072 0.000102 0.000156
2025-08-03 0.000027 0.000033 0.000042 0.000054 0.000074 0.000105 0.000165
2025-08-10 0.000027 0.000034 0.000043 0.000056 0.000078 0.000113 0.000183